Science, Public Health Policy and the Law: ‘A win for the Amish is likely to be a win for all’.

By Michael Nevradakis, Ph.D.

The Post reported last month that Miller v. McDonald and other cases challenging efforts to ban religious exemptions in California and West Virginia could result in a “national legal win” for opponents of vaccine mandates.

“If the court does rule in favor of religious exemptions to vaccines, unless there is some caveat to the ruling, a Supreme Court ruling would be binding nationwide and thereby eliminate state action to remove religious exemptions,” said Leslie Manookian, president and founder of the Health Freedom Defense Fund.

One caveat, according to Kane, would be whether the Supreme Court issues a ruling that is applicable only to specific groups, like the Amish, instead of having broader applicability.

“You can’t rule in favor of one religious group to have the right to an exemption but then declare another religious group does not share that same right,” Kane said. “There is a chance the court could rule narrowly on the specifics of this case, but that will be hard in my view. A win for the Amish is likely to be a win for all.”

Another caveat, according to Manookian, is the Supreme Court’s willingness to take on a case involving vaccination.

“I would hope that case ends up at the Supreme Court, but find it difficult to predict what the court will do as it seems committed to avoiding the vaccine issue,” Manookian said.

The cases come at a time when religious exemptions have become a contentious issue in several states and have resulted in conflicting court rulings — a situation Glaser said is confusing for many parents.

“The Miller case highlights a chaotic legal landscape where lawyers and families face direct legislative confusion,” Glaser said. “Lower courts will continue splitting over the Equal Protection Clause until the Supreme Court provides the explicit clarity required.”

Science, Public Health Policy and the Law: The parents face $118,000 in fines for noncompliance with the state’s vaccination requirements

By Michael Nevradakis, Ph.D.

Last week’s decision was the second time the 2nd Circuit ruled against the plaintiffs. The same court previously dismissed the suit in 2024, upholding a decision by another federal court earlier that year.

In December 2025, the Supreme Court sent the case back to the 2nd Circuit, asking it to review constitutional questions arising out of a separate ruling, Mahmoud v. Taylor, in 2024. In that case, the Supreme Court found that parents have the right to request an exemption for their children from LGBTQ curriculum on religious grounds.

According to The Washington Post, last week’s ruling in Miller v. McDonald may “set the stage for a potential Supreme Court battle over vaccine mandates,” citing legal experts who suggested the court is likely to accept the case for review on constitutional grounds and in light of the Mahmoud v. Taylor decision.

Lawrence Gostin, a Georgetown University professor of health law and an outspoken vaccine proponent, told the Post he expects the Supreme Court to “reverse the appellate court’s decision” if it chooses to review the case.

Science, Public Health Policy and the Law: Federal Court Rules Against Amish Families in Religious Exemption Case — Will Supreme Court Have the Last Word?

By Michael Nevradakis, Ph.D.

A federal court last week ruled against a group of Amish parents who sought religious exemptions from school vaccination requirements for their children — a ruling that legal experts suggest may lead to a U.S. Supreme Court showdown that could determine the future of religious exemptions nationwide.

In its ruling in Miller v. McDonald, the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals said New York State’s law eliminating religious exemptions from school vaccination requirements is “neutral and generally applicable,” doesn’t discriminate against specific religious practices and furthers the state’s interest in protecting the public from disease.

The plaintiffs, a group of parents and representatives of Amish schools in New York, sued New York’s Department of Health and Department of Education in 2023, alleging the state’s law barring religious exemptions violates the U.S. Constitution’s Free Exercise Clause under the First and 14th Amendments.

Science, Public Health Policy and the Law: Federal Court Rules Against Amish Families in Religious Exemption Case — Will Supreme Court Have the Last Word?

By Michael Nevradakis, Ph.D.

A federal court last week ruled against a group of Amish parents who sought religious exemptions from school vaccination requirements for their children — a ruling that legal experts suggest may lead to a U.S. Supreme Court showdown that could determine the future of religious exemptions nationwide.

In its ruling in Miller v. McDonald, the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals said New York State’s law eliminating religious exemptions from school vaccination requirements is “neutral and generally applicable,” doesn’t discriminate against specific religious practices and furthers the state’s interest in protecting the public from disease.

The plaintiffs, a group of parents and representatives of Amish schools in New York, sued New York’s Department of Health and Department of Education in 2023, alleging the state’s law barring religious exemptions violates the U.S. Constitution’s Free Exercise Clause under the First and 14th Amendments.